The latest from Telecom-Funda
Cisco: Tablets Hog More Data Than Smart Phones | Top |
New stats from Cisco on mobile data traffic | Top |
Cisco's VNI data traffic forecasts are quoted almost ubiquitously by vendors and operators in the industry. They've just released some new mobile-specific figures and breakdowns - http://bit.ly/aFcWYa . I haven't had a chance to go through everything yet, but some initial highlights that jumped out at me: Top 10% of mobile users=60% of data and falling quickly, Top 1%=20%. Now similar to fixed. Panic over - and any vendors still citing scaremongering "data hog" slides at MWC will look rather silly. My view on the reason for this: a year ago, the semi-mythical 10% were almost all PC users with dongles. Now the smartphones have caught up a bit & evened things out. Offload is already diverting 31% of smartphone mobile data traffic to WiFi or femtos. Many of the other stats I've seen don't count or cover offload in their discussions of capacity use. By 2015, M2M data will exceed tablet-based traffic, 295 vs 248 PetaBytes/month . That is hugely significant, because a lot of M2M stuff needs different business models, core architectures etc. At end-2010, there were only 14m mobile-only Internet users, but this will grow to 788m in 2015. I've been saying for ages that the true importance of mobile-only was being overstated. I might have to have a closer look at their definitons & methods for forecasts, but nice to have 3rd-party corroboration of the current reality. Laptops will still account for >50% of data traffic in 2015 Wireless home gateways generate > mobile traffic than tablets & still will in 2015 Unfortunately, no mention in the study of signalling load - it's all about MB/GB of "tonnage". More to follow when I get a chance | |
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